Teams whose 1st-innings death SR fell >20 points below their powerplay SR have won only 58% of those matches this season.
7 of 12 captured fixtures. Loss of momentum in overs 16-20 — even from a hot powerplay start — is a stronger signal of defeat than first-innings total.
The numbers behind the pattern
- Fixtures where 1st-inn decelerated (death SR > 20 below PP)
- 12
- Defended successfully
- 7
- Defence win-rate
- 58%
Most recent fixture this pattern ties to
How this is computed
Cross-tabulated across every captured fixture under /matches. Patterns are recomputed when new ball-by-ball data lands. Source: CricketMind feed, computed by CricketStudio.