Conditional probability · Conditional · pattern

Of 4 fixtures with a quiet 1st-innings powerplay (boundaries < 10%), the team batting second won 3.

Conventional read: 'slow track, set a target.' The data: a slow powerplay points to the chasing team, not the defending one. 75% chase win-rate when the openers can't find the rope.

The numbers behind the pattern

Fixtures with quiet PP (boundaries < 10%)
4
Won by chasing team
3
Chase win-rate
75%

Most recent fixture this pattern ties to

DC vs RCB · 2026-04-27 · Finished · Royal Challengers Bengaluru won by 9 wickets (with 81 balls remaining)

How this is computed

Cross-tabulated across every captured fixture under /matches. Patterns are recomputed when new ball-by-ball data lands. Source: CricketMind feed, computed by CricketStudio.