Conditional probability · Conditional · pattern

When the team batting first finishes with a >180 SR death phase, the chasing team still wins 57% of the time.

8 of 14 captured fixtures. The narrative says "they posted a defendable score." The data says modern T20 chases over par regardless of how the first innings finished.

The numbers behind the pattern

Fixtures with >180 SR death phase (1st inn)
14
Won by chasing team
8
Chase win-rate
57%

Most recent fixture this pattern ties to

MI vs SRH · 2026-04-29 · Finished · Sunrisers Hyderabad won by 6 wickets (with 8 balls remaining)

How this is computed

Cross-tabulated across every captured fixture under /matches. Patterns are recomputed when new ball-by-ball data lands. Source: CricketMind feed, computed by CricketStudio.