Toss × decision · Toss × decision

Captains who won the toss and ELECTED TO BAT: 20% win rate. Captains who chose to BOWL: 58%.

5 'we'll bat' decisions + 36 'we'll bowl' decisions across the captured season. The dew-and-grip math is well-known. The magnitude this season — 38-point edge — isn't.

The numbers behind the pattern

Captains who elected to BAT
5
… of those, won the match
20%
Captains who elected to BOWL
36
… of those, won the match
58%
Edge to bowl-first
38 pts

Most recent fixture this pattern ties to

GT vs RCB · 2026-04-30 · Finished · Gujarat Titans won by 4 wickets (with 25 balls remaining)

How this is computed

Cross-tabulated across every captured fixture under /matches. Patterns are recomputed when new ball-by-ball data lands. Source: CricketMind feed, computed by CricketStudio.